Tuesday parliament vote on EU-UK treaty.
There are 3 possible official outcomes: No-Deal Brexit (NDB), Deal-Brexit (DB), and No-or-Soft Brexit (NSB).
Statistically speaking, chances are 15% NDB, 45% DB, 40% NSB.
* In the outcome of 15% NDB, the AIQ could be toasted and big losses might emerge on the account. AIQ has no hedge implemented for this outcome as of now.
* In the outcome of DB and NSB (45% and 40% chance), the current AIQ strategy is a winner.
* In any outcome, there will be extreme move in GBP (3-11%). Any GBP downside is limited by BOE promised increase of 0.25-3.5% points in interest rates.
After Tuesday vote down, the whole situation will be in black-pandora-box with a little chance to predict outcomes.
Economically, NDB->WTO is NOT a bad outcome, EUR will suffer more. GBP volatility is overhyped mainly by politics, not economics.
Let's see how UK parliament will vote and what actions will be taken after. GAME IS ON!