The original article can be viewed on Marketwatch: Gold pulls back but set to end the week sharply higher
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31.07.2018 - “Although gold prices are noticeably weaker this morning, bulls remain in the driving seat above the $1,213 level. While the technical outlook points to further upside, fundamentals are still in the bear’s favour. With the Dollar supported by safe-haven flows and prospects of higher U.S. interest, the medium- to longer-term outlook remains negative for gold,” wrote Lukman Otunuga, research analyst at FXTM.
The original article can be viewed on Marketwatch: Gold pulls back but set to end the week sharply higher
27.07.2018 - Before the data release, Lukman Otunuga, research analyst at FXTM said the report “could shape Fed rate hike expectations.” Fed-funds futures indicate the market ascribes a 89.1% chance of a rate hike of 25 basis points at the Federal Reserve’s September meeting. “I’m not so convinced about a December hike,” said Ferridge. By then, the Fed will have had the third-quarter GDP print as well, which may determine whether a fourth 2018 hike is likely, he said.
The original article can be viewed on Marketwatch: Dollar dips after weaker-than-expected GDP
26.07.2018 - A rocky meeting could shake the financial markets, warns Lukman Otunuga, Research Analyst at FXTM: With escalating trade tensions between the European Union and the United States still a key theme that continues to weigh on global sentiment, the outcome of today’s meeting could leave a lasting impact on the markets. If the talks prove unsuccessful and trade tensions end up escalating further, risk sentiment is likely to be negatively impacted. Market players should be prepared to expect the unexpected from the talks, especially when considering how highly unpredictable
The original article can be viewed on The Guardian: US and EU reach deal to calm trade war fears – as it happened
24.07.2018 - “Bond markets also seemed to be challenging Trump’s criticism of the Federal Reserve’s tightening stance,” said Hussein Sayed, Chief Market Strategist at FXTM. “Not only did the U.S. 10-year yields bounced to a 5-week high of 2.97%, but the shorter term 2-year yields also hit a new decade high of 2.64%, suggesting that the Fed will raise interest rates two more times in 2018.”
The original article can be viewed on Forbes: Yuan In Lowest Value Against Dollar This Year
24.07.2018 - FXTM's Lukman Otunuga warned that the "move is likely to raise critical questions over the independence of the country’s central bank" and "sentiment over the Turkish economy could receive a heavy blow".
The original article can be viewed on The Telegraph: UK manufacturers curb investment amid Brexit turmoil
24.07.2018 - Lukman Otunuga, research analyst at FXTM, suggests that the Bitcoin bulls have been lured out of hibernation, and could push bitcoin towards $10,000 An inflow of positive news over the past few weeks regarding cryptocurrencies has revived investor appetite for Bitcoin and this can be reflected in the bullish price action. Goldman Sachs and BlackRock have expressed interest in the cryptocurrency markets while the Financial Services Board declared that they do not pose a threat to the global financial system.
The original article can be viewed on The Guardian: Google results and Chinese stimulus plans drive Nasdaq to fresh record high – as it happened
19.07.2018 - "Although this policy decision was widely expected, the downgrade in GDP growth forecast dealt a swift blow to sentiment," said Lukman Otunuga, an analyst at FXTM.
The original article can be viewed on NASDAQ: South Africa's rand retreats after lending rate unchanged, stocks steady
17.07.2018 - “The dollar’s fundamental outlook remains bullish amid robust U.S. economic data and expectations of rising inflationary pressures on the economy,” said Lukman Otunuga, research analyst at FXTM, in a note. “Market speculation that the Federal Reserve will be raising U.S. interest rates two more times this year continues to heavily support the dollar.”
The original article can be viewed on Marketwatch: Gold settles at a 1-year low for a third straight session
13.07.2018 - “The bearish price action witnessed in recent weeks despite the growing risk aversion continues to suggest that gold is still losing its safe-haven allure,” wrote Lukman Otunuga, research analyst at FXTM, in a Friday note. “Bulls have simply failed to garner any support from global trade concerns and this continues to be reflected in prices.”
The original article can be viewed on Marketwatch: Gold falls to lowest settlement in nearly a year
12.07.2018 - Lukman Otunuga, Research Analyst at FXTM, agrees as he says that protectionism breeds risk aversion, in turn impacting growth. “A trade war between the two largest economies in the world presents a significant threat to global economic growth and stability. A scenario where a trade war encourages other markets to begin adopting a protectionist stance may lead to less demand for some U.A.E exports which could negatively impact growth. The uncertainty from such developments may fuel risk aversion, consequently impacting equity markets and local stocks in the Middle East.”
The original article can be viewed on Forbes: Will the US-China Trade War Impact The Middle East?
12.07.2018 - Lukman Otunuga, research analyst at FXTM, said of sterling's performance after the retail sales data: "Market expectations over the Bank of England raising interest rates next month are now likely to be heavily diminished and this can already be reflected in the pound's bearish price action. "The GBP/USD has plunged to a 10-month low below 1.2990 this morning and has scope to extend losses as long as bears can maintain control below 1.3000.
The original article can be viewed on Skynews Australia: Pound below $1.30 as heatwave takes its toll on retailers
12.07.2018 - “The fact that oil prices have depreciated sharply following news that Libya will restore its oil production continues to highlight how bulls remain heavily dependent on geopolitics to sustain the rally,” said Lukman Otunuga, research analyst at FXTM, in a Thursday note.
The original article can be viewed on Marketwatch: U.S. oil holds ground at a more than 2-week low, but global prices rebound
03.07.2018 - "If Libya's oil doesn't return fast to the market it will be an important test to OPEC's spare capacity, especially given that output from Venezuela and Iran is expected to fall significantly in the next couple of months," said Hussein Sayed, chief market strategist at futures brokerage FXTM.
The original article can be viewed on BBC News: Business Live: FTSE up 1%
03.07.2018 - Hussein Sayed, Chief Market Strategist at FXTM, says the sharp depreciation in the Chinese currency is worrying investors. He reminds us that a similar slump three years ago spooked the global markets: In August 2015, USD-CNY appreciated from 6.21 to 6.44, a two-day gain of 3.85%. As a result, global stock markets sold off sharply as investors feared the beginning of a currency war. With trade tensions increasing day by day, Beijing might be playing this game as a tool in its trade war with the U.S. However, such a strategy will be a double-edged sword as it might
The original article can be viewed on The Guardian: UK construction strengthens; China promises not to launch currency war - business live
03.07.2018 - Hussein Sayed, market strategist at brokerage FXTM, agreed: “Oil bulls seem to have returned after Libya suspended oil exports from two key ports,” Sayed said.
The original article can be viewed on Reuters: Oil climbs on Libya force majeure, Canada outage
03.07.2018 - “While the greenback is slightly weaker today, there is a suspicion that the technical breakdown below the $1,246 support level encouraged bears to drive prices lower,” said Lukman Otunuga, research analyst, FXTM.
The original article can be viewed on Reuters: Gold recovers from seven-month low as dollar eases
02.07.2018 - Well, despite strengthening over the past fortnight, it's trouble for the peso, according to Lukman Otunuga of FXTM: While Obrador’s victory may ease concerns of political instability, there still remains a thick smog of uncertainty over Mexico’s economic outlook. With negations to update the NAFTA agreement in a deadlock and global trade tensions heavily eroding risk appetite, the Mexican Peso remains vulnerable to further downside losses.
The original article can be viewed on Financial Times: The Amlo-wdown
02.07.2018 - “The rise in supply from some OPEC and non-OPEC members will be met by a decline from others; doing the math here will be complicated for investors betting on the direction of prices,” said Hussein Sayed, chief market strategist at FXTM.
The original article can be viewed on Marketwatch: U.S. oil prices slip, but global prices sink as traders fret over potential for higher output
25.06.2018 - Lukman Otunuga, research analyst at FXTM, says the financial markets are increasingly edgy about today’s Opec meeting. The clashes between Saudi Arabia and Iran over whether to increase production has created “a growing sense of uncertainty”, he says: And while Opec’s deal is important, traders are also wondering whether the cartel can maintain its current agreement with Russia to curb production. That deal has been crucial in keeping output down, and prices up.
The original article can be viewed on The Guardian: Trump threatens tariff on European cars; Opec agrees to boost oil output - as it happened
20.06.2018 - Lukman Otunuga, research analyst at FXTM, says investors should be cautious about joining today’s rally. He points out that the trade spat between China and the US could escalates again soon. Asian and European stocks rose today as markets attempted to shrug off trade war threats. While the improved risk appetite could elevate stock markets higher, the sustainability should be questioned as fears over trade tensions remain a key market theme.
The original article can be viewed on The Guardian: Markets recover but remain nervous over US-China trade dispute – as it happened